{"id":25489,"date":"2021-10-18T07:21:31","date_gmt":"2021-10-18T00:21:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.asiapropertyawards.com\/?p=25489"},"modified":"2021-10-18T07:24:48","modified_gmt":"2021-10-18T00:24:48","slug":"global-bank-expects-china-to-stablise-property-with-policy-easing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.asiapropertyawards.com\/en\/global-bank-expects-china-to-stablise-property-with-policy-easing\/","title":{"rendered":"Global bank expects China to stabilise property with policy easing"},"content":{"rendered":"

Policymakers are anticipated to further ease mortgage quotas in hopes to boost bank loans<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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Property-related services account for 7.3 percent of China\u2019s GDP, while residential property investment accounts for 6.5 percent. Lili.Q\/Shutterstock<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Despite fluster from investors over the Evergrande crisis and concerns of its widespread consequences, Morgan Stanley has upgraded China\u2019s property sector to \u201cattractive\u201d, reported CNBC<\/a>.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The bank said that Chinese real estate stocks will be supported, as policy easy of the property sector is believed to kick in.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Elly Chen, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley, said, \u201cWe believe the default risks and property market weakness have been largely priced into property stocks. Property stocks will react on policy easing, which looks more likely now.\u201d<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThere have been several defaults since 2020 and escalating risk for a major developer default in 2021,\u201d Chen acknowledged.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

For the next six to 12 months, she wrote that this \u201cadjustment process\u201d of reducing debt and policies to \u201cmanage system excesses\u201d will likely continue.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cHowever, property stocks are pricing in part of these risks, and we think systemic risk is manageable,\u201d Chen said.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Last year, authorities rolled out the \u201cthree red lines\u201d policy that limits debt in relation to a firm\u2019s cash flows, capital levels, and assets, since\u00a0China’s\u00a0property\u00a0developers\u00a0have been growing rapidly\u00a0from\u00a0years of excessive debt.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Evergrande, the world\u2019s most indebted developer, was downgraded by rating agencies on tight liquidity and default risks. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

However, Morgan Stanley said a \u201cpolicy\u00a0inflection\u00a0point\u00a0in approaching.\u201d\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

There may be \u201cpotential upcoming easing measures,\u201d as policymakers are anticipated to additionally ease mortgage quotas in hopes to boost bank loans. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cPolicy is the most important leading indicator for property stocks,\u201d Chen said.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

According to Morgan Stanley,\u00a0property-related services account for 7.3 percent of China\u2019s GDP, while residential property investment accounts for 6.5 percent.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cFurther spillover could take the form of a negative wealth effect, dampening private consumption,\u201d Chen noted.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

More: China encourages banks to help the property market and homebuyers<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

As a result, policymakers will likely provide \u201cmeaningful\u201d easing to\u00a0stabilise\u00a0the property sector and support the economy.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

In regards to attractive valuation and more potential supportive measures directed at boosting the real estate sector, Morgan Stanley has upgraded the China property sector to \u201cattractive\u201d.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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The Property Report editors wrote this article. For more information, email:\u00a0propertyreport@propertyguru.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Policymakers are anticipated to further ease mortgage quotas in hopes to boost bank loans\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":25490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[92,1],"tags":[137,2396,2397,512],"class_list":["post-25489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-property-report","tag-china","tag-investment-bank","tag-property-stocks","tag-residential","news_country-china","news_author-property-report"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGlobal bank expects China to stabilise property with policy easing | Asia Property Awards<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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